Corona-Geschwurbel

Denis UfferBlog, GesundheitLeave a Comment

Obschon pseudowissenschaftliche Thesen schon vor SARS-CoV-2 zum Überdruss vorhanden waren, spielen die seit Ausbruch der Pandemie zirkulierenden Verschwörungstheorien, pseudomedizinischen Empfehlungen, … Read More

Probability, black swan events, and conspiratorial thinking

Marko KovicBlog4 Comments

Black swan events are highly improbable events that have great, negative impact. Conspiracy theories are coping mechanisms for black swan events: They try to explain them. However, conspiracy theories are epistemologically defective because they mistake the very low probability of black swan events as impossibility, and thus, a conspiracy as the only possible explanation.